8月1日澳聯儲利率決議維持不變

澳洲聯儲8月利率決議維持不變，具體申明如下

Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy meeting statement - August 1

Headlines via Reuters:

• The RBA held the official cash rate at 1.5% as expected by almost all analysts surveyed.
• One source of uncertainty for domestic economy is outlook for consumption
• Expects gradual increase in underlying inflation
• Recent rise in AUD weighing on outlook for output and employment
• Drag following mining investment boom almost complete
• Higher AUD is restraining price pressures
• Growth expected to pick up to around 3%
• Rising AUD would slow economy
• Forecasts for the Australian economy largely unchanged
• Housing debt has outpaced slow growth in incomes
• Some signs housing market starting to cool
• House prices rising briskly in some markets
• High level of debt in china medium-term risk
• Judged steady policy consistent with growth, inflation targets
• Has been a broad-based pick-up in global economy
• Forward looking indicators point to growth in employment
• Improving global economy boosting commodity prices, Australias national income

澳元60分鐘在數據公布後走勢

澳元3分鐘利率決議公布後走勢

在上圖縱我們可以看到綠色畫圈區域就是利率決議公布後市場的反應，在觀察訂單變化時，我們發現在價格8020以上，訂單很少觸及或者參與，所以當多頭訂單衝破此區間後，市場會快速上揚至日內的上限區域。所以在8020下方建立多單，可在8032止盈。

在發稿前出現的澳元下破區間下限，price action回踩可有做空機會。